Downturn Lessons

What are lessons from the last big economic downturn (2008-2010) that we should remember now? 

I asked a few of my mentors this question, and summarize their insights this way:

  • Keep your debts low. Never overleverage assets.  Only speculate with money or assets you can afford to lose entirely.
  • Be contrarian.  “Everyone” moving in one direction should be suspicious.
  • The thing you will NOT do separates you from the people who only want to bleed you dry.  Focus on customers who value what you uniquely have to offer.
  • Every day ask yourself, “What am I pretending not to know?”
  • Choose your mentors and guides carefully.  “The key to being a fly on the wall is knowing which wall to be on.”  Who you know and trust will be truly critical in any economic shift. 
  • Do what you can to “catastrophe-proof” your business model.
  • Where there is chaos and disruption there are opportunities, which often require a jump to a different S curve.  Resources come in the wake of boldness. 
  • Expect to be misunderstood or ridiculed.  Never allow yourself to wallow in self-pity.